**Outcome Bias** occurs when we judge the quality of a decision or method based on its outcome, rather than on the information available at the time the decision was made or the method was chosen. Essentially, it's judging the process (the method) by the result, rather than by the soundness of the process itself. [[The Process Principle]] related:: **Illusion of Control** where people overestimate their ability to control events, leading them to attribute successful outcomes to their methods or actions even when chance is a major factor